Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Carter 58.5% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 68.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 74.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Czarnik
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Czarnik
Carter
Last 6: Czarnik 3-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
59.7% (727)
-16.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
68.1% (72)
-68.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
53.2% (139)
-19.9%
On power play, Carter has a +68.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Czarnik is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Czarnik shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Carter
Home
46.1% (76)
58.7% (455)
Away
40.5% (84)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Czarnik
Carter
P1
44.2%
61.3%
P2
41.2%
57.1%
P3
44.6%
59.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
37.1%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |