Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Carter 58.5% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 86.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 85.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 86.8%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Goodrow
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Goodrow
Carter
Last 10: Goodrow 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Goodrow
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Goodrow
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
59.7% (727)
-12.9%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
68.1% (72)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
53.2% (139)
-10.5%
On power play, Carter has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Carter
Home
44.3% (314)
58.7% (455)
Away
47.7% (279)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Goodrow
Carter
P1
46.8%
61.3%
P2
44.0%
57.1%
P3
47.1%
59.8%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.2%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |