Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 67 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Carter 53.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 83-74 in 157 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 56.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Horvat
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
74
-
83
(157 meetings)
74
83
Horvat
Carter
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
28
39
Horvat
Carter
67 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
31
26
Horvat
Carter
57 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
15
18
Horvat
Carter
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,594)
53.3% (8,728)
+0.6%
Power Play
61.0% (2,694)
57.3% (1,554)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,491)
46.3% (1,087)
+0.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,069).
Horvat shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carter
Home
56.0% (8,335)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Horvat
Carter
P1
54.1%
53.6%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
55.0%
53.1%
OT
49.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |