Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Carter 52.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-3 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 84.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 73.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Horvat
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
3
(20 meetings)
17
3
Horvat
Carter
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
0
Horvat
Carter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
1
Horvat
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
51.5% (934)
+0.6%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
58.5% (164)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
52.6% (95)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Horvat is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Horvat shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carter
Home
53.1% (420)
55.1% (554)
Away
49.8% (428)
50.4% (639)
By Period
Horvat
Carter
P1
52.4%
50.8%
P2
49.3%
52.1%
P3
52.8%
54.8%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |