Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Carter 51.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 62.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 73.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Horvat
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Horvat
Carter
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
8
Horvat
Carter
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
3
Horvat
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
7
Horvat
Carter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
53.4% (1,137)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
48.7% (154)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
42.7% (124)
+2.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Horvat is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Horvat shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carter
Home
52.0% (767)
54.8% (753)
Away
48.8% (731)
48.6% (662)
By Period
Horvat
Carter
P1
47.1%
52.8%
P2
49.4%
53.0%
P3
54.3%
49.9%
OT
57.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2016 | OT | 04:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2016 | OT | 01:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |