Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Carter 60.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 78.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 83.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Horvat
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Horvat
Carter
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
6
Horvat
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Horvat
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
65.6% (262)
-12.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
68.3% (63)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
50.5% (99)
+0.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carter
Home
54.2% (714)
64.3% (207)
Away
53.6% (705)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Horvat
Carter
P1
53.5%
65.3%
P2
56.3%
60.1%
P3
53.5%
63.8%
OT
28.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |