Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 63.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 67.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Cizikas
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Carter
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Cizikas
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Cizikas
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
57.9% (885)
-0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
61.7% (133)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
45.4% (119)
-0.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carter
Home
56.6% (484)
58.2% (543)
Away
54.5% (477)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Cizikas
Carter
P1
57.2%
57.5%
P2
54.7%
57.1%
P3
54.8%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |