Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Carter 51.2% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 88.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Mittelstadt
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mittelstadt
Carter
Last 5: Mittelstadt 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
49.9% (935)
-10.8%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
61.8% (157)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.7% (92)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mittelstadt is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carter
Home
43.2% (280)
52.4% (638)
Away
35.9% (256)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carter
P1
41.8%
49.6%
P2
37.6%
50.9%
P3
39.6%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
34.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
39.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |