Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 86.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Mittelstadt
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mittelstadt
Carter
Last 5: Mittelstadt 4-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
59.7% (727)
-14.4%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
68.1% (72)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
53.2% (139)
-12.6%
On power play, Carter has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carter
Home
45.1% (366)
58.7% (455)
Away
46.8% (370)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carter
P1
41.1%
61.3%
P2
51.1%
57.1%
P3
45.9%
59.8%
OT
30.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |