Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Helm wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Carter 54.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 57.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 80.6%
Neutral zone
Helm 67.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Helm
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Helm
Carter
Last 5: Helm 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Helm
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Helm
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
56.2% (445)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
54.4% (114)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
37.5% (40)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Helm is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Helm shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Helm
Carter
Home
56.5% (444)
55.0% (291)
Away
49.0% (494)
54.5% (314)
By Period
Helm
Carter
P1
54.6%
57.2%
P2
51.8%
46.6%
P3
51.4%
58.0%
OT
60.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |