Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gustafsson wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 51.5% vs Carter 51.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 54.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 60.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Gustafsson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gustafsson
Carter
Last 5: Gustafsson 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gustafsson
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Gustafsson
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (62)
52.2% (552)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.0% (100)
+59.0%
On penalty kill, Gustafsson has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gustafsson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Gustafsson shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Carter
Home
48.6% (37)
51.2% (324)
Away
61.5% (26)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Gustafsson
Carter
P1
53.8%
49.8%
P2
50.0%
52.8%
P3
61.5%
51.2%
Final 5 min
71.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |