Frederick Gaudreau vs Jeff Carter
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Carter 58.5% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 87.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 89.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 85.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Gaudreau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Gaudreau
Carter
Last 10: Gaudreau 1-9 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Gaudreau
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Gaudreau
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
6
Gaudreau
Carter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
59.7% (727)
-11.3%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
68.1% (72)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
53.2% (139)
-2.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Carter
Home
51.1% (507)
58.7% (455)
Away
47.4% (508)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Gaudreau
Carter
P1
49.4%
61.3%
P2
47.4%
57.1%
P3
51.2%
59.8%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |