Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Carter 48.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 69.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 61.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 67.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Benn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Benn
Carter
Last 5: Benn 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Benn
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
48.5% (977)
+0.6%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
57.8% (128)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
40.7% (123)
-0.7%
On power play, Carter has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Benn is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Benn shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Benn
Carter
Home
50.0% (232)
50.8% (597)
Away
44.7% (246)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Benn
Carter
P1
43.9%
48.8%
P2
45.6%
48.0%
P3
51.6%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |