Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Boqvist 37.9% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 96.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 98.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 97.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 97.4%
97.4%
2.6%
Carter
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Carter
Boqvist
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Boqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
1
Carter
Boqvist
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
2
Carter
Boqvist
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
36.8% (1,060)
+16.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
40.5% (37)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
30.8% (26)
+15.5%
On power play, Carter has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Boqvist is 34.0% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Carter
Boqvist
Home
54.7% (5,752)
37.0% (538)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
36.6% (585)
By Period
Carter
Boqvist
P1
53.6%
38.2%
P2
52.8%
36.2%
P3
53.1%
36.1%
OT
56.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |