Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Boqvist 39.6% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 91.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 93.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Carter
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Boqvist
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Boqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Boqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
36.6% (432)
+21.3%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
50.0% (14)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
75.0% (4)
-29.6%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Boqvist is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Carter
Boqvist
Home
58.2% (543)
36.3% (182)
Away
55.9% (594)
38.1% (268)
By Period
Carter
Boqvist
P1
57.5%
35.2%
P2
57.1%
40.4%
P3
55.8%
36.0%
OT
68.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |