Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +26.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Boqvist 41.6% (+26.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 60.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 79.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Carter
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Boqvist
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Boqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Boqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
35.0% (140)
+30.6%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
50.0% (2)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
100.0% (1)
-49.5%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Boqvist is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Carter
Boqvist
Home
64.3% (207)
37.6% (93)
Away
60.8% (217)
32.0% (50)
By Period
Carter
Boqvist
P1
65.3%
28.6%
P2
60.1%
34.8%
P3
63.8%
41.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |