Jeff Carter vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 19-7 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 80.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 94.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 87.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
7
(26 meetings)
19
7
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Carter 8-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
3
Carter
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
11
3
Carter
Kotkaniemi
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
49.0% (3,852)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
51.3% (351)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.7% (35)
+0.6%
On power play, Carter has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Carter
Kotkaniemi
P1
53.6%
49.9%
P2
52.8%
50.4%
P3
53.1%
47.2%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |