Jeff Carter vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 58.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 88.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Carter
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
51.7% (586)
+13.9%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
48.1% (52)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
62.5% (8)
-12.0%
On power play, Carter has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Home
64.3% (207)
49.5% (313)
Away
60.8% (217)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Carter
Kotkaniemi
P1
65.3%
54.5%
P2
60.1%
51.1%
P3
63.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |