Jeff Carter vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 57.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 73.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Carter
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
49.8% (309)
+8.1%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
64.5% (31)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
50.0% (4)
-4.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.2% (543)
51.7% (203)
Away
55.9% (594)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Carter
Kotkaniemi
P1
57.5%
49.5%
P2
57.1%
50.4%
P3
55.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |