Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Thornton 57.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 58.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Carter
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Carter
Thornton
Last 10: Carter 0-10 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
4
Carter
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
6
Carter
Thornton
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Carter
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
58.7% (722)
-7.2%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
58.5% (147)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
51.2% (86)
+1.4%
On even strength, Thornton has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Carter
Thornton
Home
55.1% (554)
60.1% (496)
Away
50.4% (639)
55.8% (459)
By Period
Carter
Thornton
P1
50.8%
60.4%
P2
52.1%
54.7%
P3
54.8%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |