Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Thornton 46.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Carter
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carter
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
43.5% (161)
+14.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
50.0% (14)
+11.7%
On even strength, Carter has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Carter
Thornton
Home
58.2% (543)
41.5% (106)
Away
55.9% (594)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Carter
Thornton
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
57.1%
41.0%
P3
55.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |