Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Veleno 47.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 87.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 77.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 80.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Carter
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Carter
Veleno
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
5
Carter
Veleno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
1
Carter
Veleno
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
47.4% (2,311)
+5.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
51.0% (98)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
36.4% (88)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Carter
Veleno
Home
54.7% (5,752)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.6% (1,361)
By Period
Carter
Veleno
P1
53.6%
48.0%
P2
52.8%
47.7%
P3
53.1%
45.9%
OT
56.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |