Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Veleno 43.5% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 65.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 91.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 87.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Carter
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Carter
Veleno
Last 8: Carter 5-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
3
Carter
Veleno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
42.9% (617)
+16.8%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
37.5% (16)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
33.3% (18)
+19.9%
On power play, Carter has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Veleno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Carter
Veleno
Home
58.7% (455)
40.7% (327)
Away
60.0% (483)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Carter
Veleno
P1
61.3%
43.2%
P2
57.1%
42.0%
P3
59.8%
42.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |