Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Veleno 48.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 55.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Carter
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Carter
Veleno
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Carter
Veleno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Veleno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
49.1% (438)
+8.8%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
37.5% (16)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
16.7% (6)
+28.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Veleno is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Carter
Veleno
Home
58.2% (543)
44.0% (184)
Away
55.9% (594)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Carter
Veleno
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
57.1%
50.4%
P3
55.8%
43.9%
OT
68.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |