Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Toews 59.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 74.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 71.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 71.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Carter
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Carter
Toews
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Carter
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Carter
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Carter
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
57.3% (736)
-4.4%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
71.4% (133)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
66.1% (62)
-27.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Toews is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Carter
Toews
Home
56.4% (181)
61.0% (479)
Away
49.3% (203)
58.8% (454)
By Period
Carter
Toews
P1
56.6%
61.3%
P2
54.0%
57.9%
P3
47.2%
59.3%
OT
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |