Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.3%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Staal 56.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 64.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Carter
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Carter
Staal
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
7
Carter
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Carter
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
58.9% (1,041)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
53.4% (73)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
49.1% (171)
-3.7%
On power play, Carter has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Carter
Staal
Home
58.2% (543)
59.0% (578)
Away
55.9% (594)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Carter
Staal
P1
57.5%
57.1%
P2
57.1%
60.9%
P3
55.8%
55.8%
OT
68.2%
20.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |