Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Staal 57.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Carter
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Carter
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
58.9% (1,096)
+6.7%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
68.4% (57)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
51.8% (222)
-1.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Carter
Staal
Home
64.3% (207)
57.0% (646)
Away
60.8% (217)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Carter
Staal
P1
65.3%
55.9%
P2
60.1%
55.4%
P3
63.8%
62.0%
OT
40.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |