Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Danforth 52.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 70.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 86.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Carter
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Danforth
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Danforth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Carter
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
54.3% (162)
+3.6%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
50.0% (10)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
51.9% (27)
-6.5%
On power play, Carter has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Danforth is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Carter
Danforth
Home
58.2% (543)
51.9% (81)
Away
55.9% (594)
55.1% (118)
By Period
Carter
Danforth
P1
57.5%
49.2%
P2
57.1%
50.8%
P3
55.8%
62.9%
OT
68.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |