Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Danforth 49.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 90.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 76.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Carter
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Danforth
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Danforth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Carter
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.8% (1,018)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
50.0% (36)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
40.1% (207)
+6.2%
On power play, Carter has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Danforth is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Carter
Danforth
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.4% (619)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Carter
Danforth
P1
53.6%
49.1%
P2
52.8%
51.4%
P3
53.1%
48.3%
OT
56.5%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |