Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Eller 49.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 62.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Carter
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Carter
Eller
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Carter
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Carter
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
51.1% (786)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
45.0% (80)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
43.6% (165)
+1.8%
On power play, Carter has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Carter
Eller
Home
58.2% (543)
51.2% (510)
Away
55.9% (594)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Carter
Eller
P1
57.5%
50.7%
P2
57.1%
49.0%
P3
55.8%
48.3%
OT
68.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |