Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Eller 53.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 74.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 88.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 82.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Carter
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Carter
Eller
Last 8: Carter 6-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
53.8% (865)
+5.9%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
57.1% (21)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
52.6% (137)
+0.6%
On power play, Carter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Carter
Eller
Home
58.7% (455)
56.4% (486)
Away
60.0% (483)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Carter
Eller
P1
61.3%
55.1%
P2
57.1%
55.3%
P3
59.8%
51.7%
OT
57.1%
27.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |