Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dauphin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Dauphin 46.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 87.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 79.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 83.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Carter
Dauphin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carter
Dauphin
Last 7: Carter 5-2 Dauphin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Dauphin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Dauphin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Dauphin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
46.6% (515)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
58.3% (12)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
35.7% (42)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Dauphin is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Carter
Dauphin
Home
54.7% (5,752)
48.0% (273)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
44.3% (296)
By Period
Carter
Dauphin
P1
53.6%
48.3%
P2
52.8%
46.3%
P3
53.1%
44.0%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Laurent Dauphin |