Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dauphin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Dauphin 52.1% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Dauphin 64.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 74.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Carter
Dauphin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
53.3% (152)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
60.0% (5)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Dauphin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Dauphin is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Carter
Dauphin
Home
58.7% (455)
52.9% (87)
Away
60.0% (483)
54.3% (70)
By Period
Carter
Dauphin
P1
61.3%
59.0%
P2
57.1%
46.8%
P3
59.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%