Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dauphin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Dauphin 44.4% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 86.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Carter
Dauphin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Dauphin
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Dauphin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Dauphin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Dauphin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Dauphin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
43.0% (214)
+14.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
55.6% (9)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
29.2% (24)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Dauphin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Carter
Dauphin
Home
58.2% (543)
47.2% (125)
Away
55.9% (594)
36.9% (122)
By Period
Carter
Dauphin
P1
57.5%
42.0%
P2
57.1%
42.3%
P3
55.8%
43.0%
OT
68.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |