Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Cooley 39.5% (+24.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 86.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 94.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 96.4%
96.4%
3.6%
Carter
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Carter
Cooley
Last 5: Carter 5-0 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Cooley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Cooley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
38.0% (634)
+27.6%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
44.7% (38)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
23.5% (17)
+27.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Cooley is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Carter
Cooley
Home
64.3% (207)
37.7% (332)
Away
60.8% (217)
38.4% (357)
By Period
Carter
Cooley
P1
65.3%
39.1%
P2
60.1%
37.8%
P3
63.8%
36.2%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
33.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |