Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Cooley 42.6% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 82.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 95.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 96.5%
96.5%
3.5%
Carter
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Carter
Cooley
Last 5: Carter 5-0 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Cooley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Cooley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
41.7% (1,658)
+11.6%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
46.1% (217)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
43.2% (44)
+3.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Cooley is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Carter
Cooley
Home
54.7% (5,752)
43.1% (961)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
41.4% (958)
By Period
Carter
Cooley
P1
53.6%
42.3%
P2
52.8%
43.9%
P3
53.1%
40.0%
OT
56.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
38.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |