Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 87.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 69.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Carter
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
12
(32 meetings)
20
12
Carter
Jankowski
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
13
6
Carter
Jankowski
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
3
Carter
Jankowski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
3
Carter
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.5% (3,462)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
53.7% (95)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.8% (528)
+3.5%
On power play, Carter has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Home / Away
Carter
Jankowski
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Carter
Jankowski
P1
53.6%
50.0%
P2
52.8%
51.2%
P3
53.1%
50.2%
OT
56.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |