Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Jankowski 54.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Carter
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carter
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
58.6% (273)
+1.1%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
66.7% (3)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
43.3% (67)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Carter
Jankowski
Home
58.7% (455)
54.7% (128)
Away
60.0% (483)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Carter
Jankowski
P1
61.3%
54.5%
P2
57.1%
56.5%
P3
59.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
60.2%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |