Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 78.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 67.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Carter
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Carter
Jankowski
Last 7: Carter 4-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Jankowski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Carter
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Carter
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
51.6% (126)
+6.3%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
50.0% (2)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
39.2% (51)
+6.2%
On power play, Carter has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Carter
Jankowski
Home
58.2% (543)
45.3% (64)
Away
55.9% (594)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Carter
Jankowski
P1
57.5%
53.7%
P2
57.1%
45.8%
P3
55.8%
43.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |