Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Rasmussen 50.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 75.9%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 75.1%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 72.1%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Carter
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Rasmussen
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
3
Carter
Rasmussen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
2
Carter
Rasmussen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
50.1% (681)
+7.8%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
63.5% (63)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
38.7% (75)
+6.7%
On even strength, Carter has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Rasmussen is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Carter
Rasmussen
Home
58.2% (543)
50.6% (423)
Away
55.9% (594)
49.5% (396)
By Period
Carter
Rasmussen
P1
57.5%
50.4%
P2
57.1%
53.8%
P3
55.8%
46.5%
OT
68.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |