Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Rasmussen 50.8% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 72.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 60.4%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 51.3%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Carter
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Rasmussen
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
2
Carter
Rasmussen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Carter
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
50.8% (333)
+8.9%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
60.7% (28)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
45.9% (37)
+7.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Rasmussen is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Carter
Rasmussen
Home
58.7% (455)
51.4% (212)
Away
60.0% (483)
50.5% (186)
By Period
Carter
Rasmussen
P1
61.3%
54.5%
P2
57.1%
43.4%
P3
59.8%
54.2%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |