Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Granlund 52.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 59.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 55.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 57.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Carter
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carter
Granlund
Last 7: Carter 5-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
51.7% (665)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
60.2% (93)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
48.4% (31)
-4.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Carter shoots right. Granlund is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Carter
Granlund
Home
53.6% (330)
54.9% (377)
Away
50.6% (314)
50.5% (412)
By Period
Carter
Granlund
P1
50.0%
54.7%
P2
55.6%
50.8%
P3
50.3%
53.4%
OT
59.1%
35.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |