Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 61.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Carter
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
21
(45 meetings)
24
21
Carter
Granlund
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
8
Carter
Granlund
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
7
Carter
Granlund
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
10
6
Carter
Granlund
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
48.5% (6,718)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.7% (748)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
43.6% (635)
+2.7%
On even strength, Carter has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Home / Away
Carter
Granlund
Home
54.7% (5,752)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Carter
Granlund
P1
53.6%
48.7%
P2
52.8%
48.7%
P3
53.1%
48.2%
OT
56.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | OT | 01:05 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 15, 2019 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |