Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Granlund 47.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Carter
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Granlund
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Carter
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
47.7% (1,001)
+10.2%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
53.4% (73)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
40.2% (132)
+5.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Carter
Granlund
Home
58.2% (543)
45.9% (582)
Away
55.9% (594)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Carter
Granlund
P1
57.5%
48.6%
P2
57.1%
46.7%
P3
55.8%
46.9%
OT
68.2%
31.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | OT | 01:05 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |