Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Thompson 51.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 72.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Carter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Carter
Thompson
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Carter
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Carter
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Carter
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
53.2% (380)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
50.0% (16)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
45.5% (55)
-4.8%
On power play, Carter has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Carter shoots right. Thompson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Carter
Thompson
Home
50.8% (597)
53.9% (243)
Away
46.8% (631)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Carter
Thompson
P1
48.8%
46.9%
P2
48.0%
62.2%
P3
49.4%
47.5%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |