Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Thompson 54.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Carter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Carter
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
55.5% (236)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
60.0% (5)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
56.5% (46)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Carter
Thompson
Home
58.2% (543)
53.1% (128)
Away
55.9% (594)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Carter
Thompson
P1
57.5%
59.0%
P2
57.1%
55.4%
P3
55.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |