Jeff Carter vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jeff Carter holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carter 53.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor MacKinnon leads 33-28 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 69.9%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 66.6%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 67.7%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Carter MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
28 - 33 (61 meetings)
28
33
Carter MacKinnon
Last 10: Carter 4-6 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
12
9
Carter MacKinnon
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
14
Carter MacKinnon
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
9
10
Carter MacKinnon
19 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carter
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
46.1% (11,218)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
53.3% (1,412)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.8% (502)
+3.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +7.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Carter
MacKinnon
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Carter
MacKinnon
P1
53.6%
47.4%
P2
52.8%
46.6%
P3
53.1%
46.1%
OT
56.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%
61.5%
53.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 22, 2023 1 08:25 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2023 3 08:43 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2023 3 08:36 Defensive Jeff Carter
Feb 7, 2023 3 05:40 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2023 3 01:25 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2023 1 14:05 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 5, 2022 3 03:51 Offensive Jeff Carter
Apr 5, 2022 3 01:55 Offensive Jeff Carter
Feb 15, 2020 3 19:15 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 15, 2020 3 18:37 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 15, 2020 3 00:19 Offensive Jeff Carter
Feb 15, 2020 2 11:09 Neutral Jeff Carter
Feb 15, 2020 2 10:59 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 31, 2018 OT 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 31, 2018 3 12:24 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 31, 2018 2 12:58 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 31, 2018 1 09:17 Neutral Jeff Carter
Nov 21, 2018 3 13:14 Neutral Jeff Carter
Nov 21, 2018 3 09:40 Offensive Jeff Carter
Mar 22, 2018 2 16:17 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon