Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+16.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 71.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Carter
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
45.5% (1,190)
+20.1%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
56.4% (94)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
40.0% (30)
+10.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Carter
MacKinnon
Home
64.3% (207)
47.8% (670)
Away
60.8% (217)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Carter
MacKinnon
P1
65.3%
45.3%
P2
60.1%
48.5%
P3
63.8%
45.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
65.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%