Jeff Carter vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 31 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 47-40 in 87 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 57.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 72.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Carter
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
40
(87 meetings)
47
40
Carter
Backstrom
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
10
21
Carter
Backstrom
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
24
14
Carter
Backstrom
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
13
5
Carter
Backstrom
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.4% (11,581)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.3% (1,895)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
47.0% (889)
-0.7%
On power play, Carter has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
Carter
Backstrom
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Carter
Backstrom
P1
53.6%
50.1%
P2
52.8%
49.7%
P3
53.1%
51.6%
OT
56.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |