Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 73.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 96.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 82.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Carter
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Carter
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
51.4% (473)
+8.3%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
39.5% (38)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
33.3% (3)
+19.9%
On power play, Carter has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Carter
Backstrom
Home
58.7% (455)
53.6% (278)
Away
60.0% (483)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Carter
Backstrom
P1
61.3%
51.5%
P2
57.1%
56.0%
P3
59.8%
43.5%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |